

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 55.42% ( | 24.43% ( | 20.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% ( | 53.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( | 74.81% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( | 19.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.25% ( | 50.75% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( | 41.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.37% ( | 77.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 3-1 @ 5.27% 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
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