| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Greenock Morton | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Hamilton Academical | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Raith Rovers | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 6 | -6 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 37.29% ( | 28.8% ( | 33.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.77% ( | 61.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.83% ( | 81.16% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( | 31.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.05% ( | 67.95% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( | 33.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.56% ( | 70.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | Dundee | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 26 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 25 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 24 |
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