

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Spezia |
| 53.34% ( | 23.38% ( | 23.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( | 45.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( | 67.8% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( | 17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.88% ( | 47.12% ( |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( | 33.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.74% ( | 70.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
