Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.