Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.