Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 3-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 62.46% | 18.98% | 18.56% |
| Both teams to score 63.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.71% | 31.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.27% | 52.73% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.31% | 9.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.69% | 32.31% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% | 29.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.08% | 65.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 6.75% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-2 @ 4.48% 4-1 @ 4.33% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.02% 5-0 @ 1.67% 5-2 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.81% Total : 62.46% | 1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 2.89% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.98% | 1-2 @ 4.94% 0-1 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-2 @ 2.12% 1-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.7% Total : 18.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 16 | 44 | 68 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Lazio | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | Roma | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Juventus | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Torino | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Udinese | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 35 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Monza | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 | Empoli | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 19 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 43 | -30 | 12 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 26 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 12 |
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