Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
