Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
| 49.79% ( | 24.99% ( | 25.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( | 50.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( | 72.39% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( | 20.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.36% ( | 52.64% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( | 34.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.63% ( | 71.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 |
| 2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 |
| 3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 26 | 30 | 57 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 |
| 7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 33 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 19 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
