

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
| 52.83% ( | 24.05% ( | 23.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( | 48.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( | 70.65% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( | 18.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.59% ( | 49.41% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( | 35.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.8% ( | 72.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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