

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 23.06% ( | 22.77% ( | 54.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( | 43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( | 65.4% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( | 32.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.03% ( | 68.97% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( | 15.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.02% ( | 44.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 6% ( 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 3-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.06% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0-2 @ 8.73% ( 1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0-4 @ 2.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 54.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
| 2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
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