Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.04) 
-0.03) 
