Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Girona |
| 39.78% ( | 28.42% ( | 31.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.79% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.6% ( | 80.39% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( | 29.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( | 65.56% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( | 34.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% ( | 71.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.27% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 1-2 @ 7% ( 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 31.79% |