La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 23, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.3% . A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Girona had a probability of 12.39% .
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.03%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%) , while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (3.61%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match.
Result Real Madrid Draw Girona 70.3% ( 0.84) 17.31% ( -0.21) 12.39% ( -0.62)
Both teams to score 53.61% ( -1.2)
63.46% ( -0.59) 36.54% ( 0.59)
41.32% ( -0.64) 58.68% ( 0.65)
90.71% ( 0.05) 9.29% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 68.64% ( 0.1) 31.36% ( -0.1)
59.1% ( -1.35) 40.9% ( 1.36)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.53% ( -1.23) 77.47% ( 1.24)
Real Madrid 70.29%
Girona 12.39%
Draw 17.31%
Real Madrid Draw Girona 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.43% Total : 70.29% 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.31% 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.51% Total : 12.39%
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Girona 75
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rhs 2.0
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