Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Feb 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes2 - 3Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Gonzalo Garcia's first Real Madrid goal sends Carlo Ancelotti's side into the semi-finals of the Copa del Rey on Wednesday evening.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Leganes and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Leganes and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Copa del Rey quarter-final against Leganes.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey clash with Leganes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leganes 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 80.92%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.38%) and 0-1 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Real Madrid |
5.91% ( -0.21) | 13.17% ( -0.48) | 80.92% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 39.76% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
