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Real Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo logo

Real Madrid
5 - 2
Celta Vigo

Mbappe (37'), Junior (48'), Endrick (108', 119'), Valverde (112')
Asencio del Rosario (90+1'), Endrick (109')
FT
(aet)
Bamba (83'), Alonso (90+1' pen.)
Villar (96'), Alonso (101'), Starfelt (101'), Iglesias (111')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey clash with Celta Vigo at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash with Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-5 Barcelona
Sunday, January 12 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, January 10 at 8pm in La Liga

We say: Real Madrid 3-1 Celta Vigo

 After suffering a demoralising defeat in the Spanish Super Cup final, Real Madrid will be determined to produce a positive response in Thursday's cup fixture, and taking into account their recent run of five consecutive home wins, we think that Los Blancos will sweep past Celta to reach the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (5.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%).

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
59.32% (0.448 0.45) 20.33% (0.346 0.35) 20.36% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 61.54% (-2.643 -2.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.95% (-2.851 -2.85)35.05% (2.855 2.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.96% (-3.25 -3.25)57.04% (3.254 3.25)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)11.61% (0.761 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (-1.661 -1.66)36.6% (1.664 1.66)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-2.371 -2.37)30.38% (2.374 2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-2.919 -2.92)66.57% (2.923 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 59.32%
    Celta Vigo 20.36%
    Draw 20.33%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.683 0.68)
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.846 0.85)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.87% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.329 -0.33)
4-1 @ 3.77% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.253 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 59.32%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.459 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.489 0.49)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.2% (0.335 0.34)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 20.36%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Real Madrid
90.5%
Celta Vigo
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Swedberg (51')
Sotelo (82'), Alonso (90')
Mbappe (20'), Junior (66')
Ancelotti (19'), Vazquez (75')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
4-0
Celta Vigo
Junior (21'), Guaita (79' og.), Dominguez (88' og.), Guler (90+4')
Camavinga (45+1'), Junior (55')

de la Torre (25'), Mingueza (55'), Manquillo (82')
> Preview
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid

Aspas (67'), Tapia (90+4')
Bellingham (81')
Kroos (71'), Nacho (90+6'), Rudiger (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Real Madrid
2-0
Celta Vigo
Asensio (42'), Militao (48')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
1-4
Real Madrid
Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')
> Preview
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