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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
40.36% (![]() | 25.6% | 34.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.27% (![]() | 48.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.16% (![]() | 70.83% (![]() |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% (![]() | 23.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% (![]() | 58.07% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.58% (![]() | 27.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.1% (![]() | 62.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.38% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.47% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 81 |
2 | Port Vale | 45 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 74 | 54 | 20 | 74 |
5 | Notts County | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 70 |
7 | Salford City | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 62 | 52 | 10 | 68 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 68 |
9 | Chesterfield | 45 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 67 |
10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 66 |
11 | Bromley | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 63 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 61 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 60 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 60 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 58 |
17 | Gillingham | 45 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 55 |
18 | MK Dons | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 51 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 53 | 68 | -15 | 50 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 50 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 49 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 48 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 45 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 39 | 70 | -31 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |