J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 at 8am UK
National Olympic Stadium

Urawa
3 - 2
FC Tokyo

Ishihara (32'), Matsumoto (80', 90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ryan (9' pen.), Endo (68')
Ryan (45+3'), Trevisan (78'), Nagatomo (90+11')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, May 11 at 6.05am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 10 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawFC Tokyo
42.89% (0.708 0.71)25.62% (0.227 0.23)31.48% (-0.943 -0.94)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-1.126 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (-1.299 -1.3)49.5% (1.293 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46% (-1.178 -1.18)71.53% (1.171 1.17)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)22.96% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (-0.32 -0.32)56.75% (0.312 0.31)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-1.263 -1.26)29.43% (1.256 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-1.57 -1.57)65.43% (1.563 1.56)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 42.9%
    FC Tokyo 31.48%
    Draw 25.62%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.453 0.45)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.9%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.76% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.165 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.147 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.48%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 11am
Gameweek 31
Urawa
0-2
FC Tokyo

Naganuma (62'), Watanabe (82'), Ohata (84')
Inoue (9' og.), Araki (17' pen.)
Oka (32')
Apr 3, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 6
FC Tokyo
2-1
Urawa
Araki (50'), Matsuki (58')
Doi (89')
Thiago (24')
Gustafson (85')
Jul 8, 2023 11am
Gameweek 20
Urawa
0-0
FC Tokyo
Ohata (53')
Trevisan (61')
Feb 18, 2023 5am
Gameweek 1
FC Tokyo
2-0
Urawa
Koizumi (66' og.), Watanabe (74')
Jul 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 21
Urawa
3-0
FC Tokyo
Moberg-Karlsson (31'), Ito (50'), Okubo (70')
Sekine (89')