J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 at 6.05am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 1
Urawa

Hasegawa (74', 74')
Kasai (60'), Kasai (60'), Gomes (78'), Gomes (78'), Arai (90'), Arai (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nagakura (80', 80')
Watanabe (29'), Watanabe (29')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Urawa Red Diamonds.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
29.51% (0.297 0.3)25.33% (0.243 0.24)45.16% (-0.54 -0.54)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.609 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (-0.881 -0.88)49.14% (0.88 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (-0.801 -0.8)71.21% (0.80200000000001 0.8)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (-0.239 -0.24)30.62% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.285 -0.28)66.85% (0.285 0.28)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.607 -0.61)21.75% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.936 -0.94)54.94% (0.936 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 29.51%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 45.15%
    Draw 25.33%
Albirex NiigataDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.51%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.237 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.15%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 5am
Gameweek 38
Urawa
0-0
Albirex Niigata
Koroki (12')
Fitzgerald (73')
May 11, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Albirex Niigata
2-4
Urawa
Ota (75'), Nagakura (87')
Fujiwara (82')
Thiago (4', 90+12'), Gustafson (65'), Maeda (69')
Sep 2, 2023 10am
Gameweek 26
Albirex Niigata
1-1
Urawa
Komi (81')
Akiyama (90+6')
Scholz (38' pen.)
Mar 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 5
Urawa
2-1
Albirex Niigata
Sakai (35'), Akimoto (45+2')
Ota (10')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers19131529151440
2Kyoto Sanga2010463022834
3Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa219752620634
4Kashiwa ReysolReysol199732217534
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1810262014632
6Vissel KobeVissel Kobe189362319430
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki1878330191129
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo208573026429
9Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse197482626025
10Machida Zelvia197482223-125
11Fagiano OkayamaOkayama196671617-124
12Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka197392327-424
13Tokyo Verdy196671318-524
14Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus196582426-223
15Avispa Fukuoka196581519-423
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare196491423-922
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC1954101320-719
18FC Tokyo185491726-919
19Albirex Niigata183781927-816
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama1835101826-814
> J1 League Full Table


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