Chinese Super League | Gameweek 13
May 17, 2025 at 12pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium
Tianjin Jinmen

Changchun
1 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen

Long (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Xadas (8'), Quiles (67')
Quiles (71'), Ming Him (90+4')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Changchun 0-1 Henan
Sunday, May 11 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

All competitions
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-1 Yunnan Yukun
Sunday, May 11 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
36.5% (0.389 0.39)25.23% (-0.144 -0.14)38.27% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 56.94% (0.541 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (0.684 0.68)46.71% (-0.686 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (0.638 0.64)68.97% (-0.63799999999999 -0.64)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (0.53700000000001 0.54)25.02% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (0.737 0.74)59.69% (-0.739 -0.74)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.178 0.18)24.06% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (0.255 0.25)58.34% (-0.257 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 36.5%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 38.27%
    Draw 25.22%
Changchun YataiDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.075 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.5%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.27%

Head to Head
Jul 6, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 18
Tianjin Jinmen
2-2
Changchun
Compagno (27'), Qiuming (45')
Liu (21'), Skoric (56'), Liao (90+9')
Zhang (61'), Beric (81')
Shenyuan (21'), Liao (71')
Mar 31, 2024 8.30am
Gameweek 3
Changchun
0-1
Tianjin Jinmen

Zulj (45+5')
Compagno (44' pen.)
Qiuming (62')
Jul 29, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 19
Tianjin Jinmen
0-0
Changchun
Pengfei (33'), Merida (75')
Abdusalam (77'), Mincheng (88')
Apr 30, 2023 8.30am
Gameweek 4
Changchun
1-1
Tianjin Jinmen
Leonardo (54')
Dun (10')
Nov 12, 2022 11am
Gameweek 25
Changchun
2-3
Tianjin Jinmen
Serginho (19', 24' pen.)
Dun (25'), Wang (50'), Xie (90+5')