Henan
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11
May 5, 2025 at 12pm UK
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Tianjin Jinmen

Henan
3 - 4
Tianjin Jinmen

Nazario (8' pen., 45+8'), Maia (75')
Maidana (9'), Huang (40'), Nazario (81'), Du (82')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Nazario (28' og.), Quiles (38'), Xadas (87' pen.), Hao (90')
Salvador (45+13'), Wang (78')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Henan and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Henan

All competitions
Last Game: Henan 1-2 Wuhan TT
Thursday, May 1 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

All competitions
Last Game: Sichuan 1-0 Tianjin Jinmen
Thursday, May 1 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
HenanDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
51.44% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)25.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)52.01% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)73.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)20.22% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)52.53% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)73.77% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Henan 51.44%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 23.54%
    Draw 25.01%
HenanDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.54%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.35pm
Gameweek 25
Tianjin Jinmen
1-0
Henan
Qiuming (23')
Qiuming (90+4')

Wang (39'), Zichang (61'), Yixin (64')
May 4, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 10
Henan
1-2
Tianjin Jinmen
Liu (14')
Hao (63'), Pengfei (78')
Skoric (66'), Pengfei (82'), Fang (90+7')
Aug 13, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 22
Henan
1-0
Tianjin Jinmen
Covic (2' pen.)
Luo (62'), Denic (77'), Sunjic (89'), Guoming (90+1')

Xie (59'), Tian (80')
May 14, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 7
Tianjin Jinmen
1-0
Henan
Qiuming (68')
Dec 10, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 18
Tianjin Jinmen
1-1
Henan
Xie (81')
Mierzejewski (35')