Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9
Apr 26, 2025 at 8.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
1 - 2
Chengdu

Beric (52', 52')
Zhang (34'), Zhang (34')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mincheng (5', 5'), Shihao (49', 49')
Letschert (61'), Letschert (61')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Chengdu Rongcheng.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Changchun 0-0 Yunnan Yukun
Sunday, April 20 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-3 Chengdu
Sunday, April 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawChengdu Rongcheng
16.88% (-0.477 -0.48)20.65% (-0.186 -0.19)62.47% (0.661 0.66)
Both teams to score 53.64% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.3% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)64.7% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63% (-0.57 -0.57)38.37% (0.568 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (-0.549 -0.55)75.12% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Chengdu Rongcheng Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03% (0.193 0.19)12.96% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.55% (0.394 0.39)39.45% (-0.39599999999999 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 16.88%
    Chengdu Rongcheng 62.47%
    Draw 20.65%
Changchun YataiDrawChengdu Rongcheng
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 4.66% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.88%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.97%
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.65%
0-2 @ 10.38% (0.16 0.16)
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.07% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 6.77% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.61% (0.104 0.1)
1-4 @ 3.46% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.48% (0.053 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.41% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 62.47%

Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Chengdu
4-0
Changchun
Palacios (27', 31', 66'), Letschert (37')

Wang (45+1')
Aug 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Chengdu
4-0
Changchun
Palacios (27', 31', 66'), Letschert (37')

Wang (45+1')
Apr 14, 2024 8.30am
Gameweek 6
Changchun
1-2
Chengdu
Guilherme (12')
Beric (64'), He (76')
Beric (90+7')
Silva (90+4'), Shihao (90+18')
Yang (54'), (82')
Aug 12, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 22
Changchun
1-0
Chengdu
Cheng (2')
Li (61'), Wu (72')

Dong (33'), Yang (62')
May 14, 2023 10.30am
Gameweek 7
Chengdu
2-2
Changchun
Kim (3'), Romulo (15')
Cao (83'), Leonardo (90+4')