Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11
May 5, 2025 at 12.35pm UK
Qingdao Tiantai Stadium

Qingdao Hainiu
3 - 0
Changchun

Silva (53', 60'), Boyuan (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Xu (30')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Qingdao Hainiu and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qingdao Hainiu

All competitions
Last Game: Shandong 1-1 Qingdao Hainiu
Thursday, May 1 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Zhejiang 4-2 Changchun
Thursday, May 1 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Hainiu would win this match.

Result
Qingdao HainiuDrawChangchun Yatai
40.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)24.97%34.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 57.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)45.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Qingdao Hainiu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12%55.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Qingdao Hainiu 40.83%
    Changchun Yatai 34.2%
    Draw 24.96%
Qingdao HainiuDrawChangchun Yatai
2-1 @ 8.78%
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 34.2%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 12.35pm
Gameweek 17
Changchun
5-0
Qingdao Hainiu
Serginho (37'), Zhang (45+4'), Zulj (56'), Beric (70' pen., 78')
Zulj (14'), Zhang (45')

Petrov (15'), Wang (16'), Boakye (35')
Mar 8, 2024 11.35am
Gameweek 2
Qingdao Hainiu
0-1
Changchun

Xu (28'), Jinbao (75'), Junshuai (90+3')
Guilherme (61')
Wang (89')
Aug 26, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 24
Qingdao Hainiu
1-0
Changchun
Junshuai (59')
Brown Forbes (89')

Zhang (86')
May 23, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 9
Changchun
1-0
Qingdao Hainiu
Long (29')

Xu (40'), Junshuai (83')