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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Rennes

Marseille
4 - 2
Rennes

Greenwood (21' pen., 45+1'), Rabiot (38', 90+2')
Felipe (40'), Murillo (64'), Dedic (89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kone (14'), Gomez (77')
Kone (29'), Rouault (30'), Assignon (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Le Havre 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.74%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 1-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawRennes
58.74% (0.215 0.22)20.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)20.93% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 62.48% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)34.25% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.85% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)56.15% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.48% (0.039000000000001 0.04)11.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.59% (0.085000000000001 0.09)36.41% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)29.39% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (-0.232 -0.23)65.38% (0.233 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 58.74%
    Rennes 20.93%
    Draw 20.34%
MarseilleDrawRennes
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (0.049 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.32% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 1%
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 58.74%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.34%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 20.93%

How you voted: Marseille vs Rennes

Marseille
90.5%
Draw
4.8%
Rennes
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 8.05pm
Gameweek 17
Rennes
1-2
Marseille
Kalimuendo (43')
Hateboer (63'), Assignon (90+6')
Greenwood (45'), Rabiot (49')
Balerdi (90+2'), Cornelius (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 26
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Terrier (21'), Bourigeaud (77' pen.)
Kalimuendo (77')

Harit (38'), Lopez (76'), Sarr (80')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
Round of 32
Rennes
1-1
Marseille
(Aggregate 1-1 | Rennes win 9-8 on penalties)
Terrier (53')
Doue (27'), Yildirim (88')
Veretout (29')
Onana (36'), Garcia (45+3'), Oliveira (49')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Aubameyang (8' pen.), Ounahi (65')
Mughe (81')
Ndiaye (67')

Santamaria (36'), Matic (76'), Gouiri (90')
Wooh (61')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Rennes
0-1
Marseille
Kolasinac (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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