MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 15:11:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Marseille

Lille
vs.
Marseille

Coverage of the Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 0-2 Lille
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Brest
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 24.81% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Marseille win is 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.8%).

Result
LilleDrawMarseille
53.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 21.88% (0.058 0.06) 24.81% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.14% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63% (-0.307 -0.31)37% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.81% (-0.336 -0.34)59.19% (0.34 0.34)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)14.01% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)41.55% (0.233 0.23)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.185 -0.19)27.74% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-0.241 -0.24)63.31% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Lille 53.31%
    Marseille 24.81%
    Draw 21.88%
LilleDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 53.31%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 24.81%

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille?

Lille
Draw
Marseille
Lille
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Marseille
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2025 8.10pm
Round of 32
Marseille
1-1
Lille
(Aggregate 1-1 | Lille win 4-3 on penalties)
Henrique (90+6')
Maupay (62')
Arnar Haraldsson (69')
Bakker (54'), Diakite (90')
Dec 14, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Merlin (17')
Hojbjerg (86'), De Zerbi (90+5')
Lirola (90+5')
Diakite (87')
Diakite (63'), Andre (90+2'), Gomes (90+2')
Apr 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 28
Lille
3-1
Marseille
David (54' pen.), Cabella (71'), Gudmundsson (84')
Santos (21')
Ismaily (81')
Harit (27'), Gigot (52'), Merlin (57'), Kondogbia (70'), Balerdi (77'), Veretout (90+6')
Nov 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Marseille
0-0
Lille
Harit (42'), Gigot (53')
Andre (27'), Bentaleb (70'), Yazici (73')
May 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
2-1
Marseille
David (50' pen.), Bamba (72')
Andre (57'), Bamba (73'), Bayo (85')
Clauss (29')
Balerdi (37'), Rongier (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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