Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes1 - 0Lille
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Nantes 1-2 Lille
Nantes may have held Lille to a draw in the reverse fixture, but they have gone 18 games without a win against Les Dogues, and have lost at least one fixture against them in every season dating back to 2007. The hosts also have some of the worst home form in Ligue 1, meaning this is the perfect opportunity for Lille to extend their recent good form domestically, which has seen them win three of the last four. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lille |
29.45% ( -0) | 25.89% ( -0) | 44.66% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
