Champions League header

Champions League

Lille
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Dortmund logo

Lille
1 - 2
Dortmund

David (5')
Meunier (52'), Mukau (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Can (54' pen.), Beier (65')
Anton (32'), Gross (51'), Bensebaini (89')

The Match

Match Report

Borussia Dortmund faced Lille in the second leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie on Wednesday evening with Jonathan David, Emre Can and Max Beier on target.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lille and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Augsburg
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawBorussia Dortmund
44.52% (0.722 0.72)23.25% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)32.23% (-0.63 -0.63)
Both teams to score 62.99% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (0.209 0.21)38.35% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.36% (0.22 0.22)60.63% (-0.218 -0.22)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.37599999999999 0.38)17.63% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76% (0.647 0.65)48.23% (-0.644 -0.64)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)23.52% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (-0.376 -0.38)57.55% (0.379 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lille 44.52%
    Borussia Dortmund 32.23%
    Draw 23.24%
LilleDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.095 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 44.52%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Lille vs Dortmund

Lille
66.6%
Draw
10.3%
Borussia Dortmund
23.1%
320
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2025 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Dortmund
1-1
Lille
Adeyemi (22')
Can (61'), Gross (90+3')
Arnar Haraldsson (68')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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> Premier League Full Table


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