MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 23:55:51| >> :120:9209:9209:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Shakhtar Donetsk

Dortmund
3 - 1
Shakhtar

Guirassy (17', 44'), Bensebaini (80')
Beier (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gomes (50')
Kevin (25'), Gomes (58'), Gomes (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk

With Dortmund's future uncertain following the dismissal of Sahin, they may not play to their full potential on Wednesday. Additionally, Shakhtar are likely to pose a significant challenge to BVB given they have to win, and it is difficult to see the hosts coming through their clash unscathed considering they are low on confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawShakhtar Donetsk
56.92% (-0.252 -0.25) 19.69% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 23.39% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 68.73% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.25% (0.753 0.75)27.75% (-0.76 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.57% (0.936 0.94)48.43% (-0.943 -0.94)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.167 0.17)9.96% (-0.1751 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.05% (0.39700000000001 0.4)32.95% (-0.40499999999999 -0.4)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (0.661 0.66)23.66% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (0.95 0.95)57.76% (-0.96 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 56.92%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 23.39%
    Draw 19.69%
Borussia DortmundDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-0 @ 5.44% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-2 @ 5.01% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 4% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.89% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.023 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.39% (0.06 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.33% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 56.92%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.36% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.69%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 23.39%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Shakhtar

Borussia Dortmund
67.8%
Draw
19.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk
12.6%
143
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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5Chelsea34179859401960
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8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
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20Southampton3425272580-5511


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