Dortmund

3 - 1

Shakhtar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.