Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
3 - 1
Shakhtar

Guirassy (17', 44'), Bensebaini (80')
Beier (27')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gomes (50')
Kevin (25'), Gomes (58'), Gomes (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
56.92% ( -0.25)	19.69% ( -0.07)	23.39% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 68.73% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.25% (

0.75)

27.75% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.57% (

0.94)

48.43% (

-0.94)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.03% (

0.17)

9.96% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.05% (

0.4)

32.95% (

-0.4)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

0.66)

23.66% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

0.95)

57.76% (

-0.96)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 56.92%

Shakhtar Donetsk 23.39%

Draw 19.69%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 56.92%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.57% Total : 19.69%	1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 23.39%