Shakhtar

1 - 5

Bayern

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.