Inhulets

1 - 4

Shakhtar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 8.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.72%) and 0-3 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Inhulets win it was 1-0 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.