Inhulets

1 - 2

Karpaty

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karpaty Lviv would win this match.