Villarreal

4 - 2

Sevilla

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.