Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
47.26% | 25.67% (![]() | 27.06% |
Both teams to score 51.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.07% | 51.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% | 73.67% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.03% | 21.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.73% | 55.27% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% (![]() | 33.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% | 70.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.27% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.06% |