Barcelona

4 - 3

Celta Vigo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 11.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.