Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 3-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.