Dortmund

3 - 1

Barcelona

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.