Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, March 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, March 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
45
We said: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund have been excellent on the road, and they should be confident of finding the back of the net on Saturday. However, Leipzig's record at home is also strong, and it would not be surprising if the two sides played out an entertaining stalemate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
36.05% ( -0.32) | 23.28% ( 0.17) | 40.66% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 64.07% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
