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Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 4, 2025 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Lille

Dortmund
1 - 1
Lille

Adeyemi (22')
Can (61'), Gross (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnar Haraldsson (68')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Lille.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Lille

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lille
Saturday, March 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawLille
56.41% (0.665 0.66)21.33% (-0.27 -0.27)22.25% (-0.395 -0.4)
Both teams to score 60.83% (0.42599999999999 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.72% (0.80200000000001 0.8)37.28% (-0.803 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.51% (0.86 0.86)59.48% (-0.861 -0.86)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.85% (0.46899999999999 0.47)13.14% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.18% (0.941 0.94)39.82% (-0.94 -0.94)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.113 0.11)29.96% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.136 0.14)66.07% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 56.41%
    Lille 22.25%
    Draw 21.33%
Borussia DortmundDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.074 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 56.41%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 22.25%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Lille

Borussia Dortmund
82.2%
Draw
10.8%
Lille
7.1%
269
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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