Lille

4 - 1

St Etienne

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 76.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.