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Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Saint-Etienne

Toulouse
2 - 1
St Etienne

Babicka (55'), Aboukhlal (85')
Sierro (19'), King (49'), Casseres Jr (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stassin (53')
Bouchouari (10'), Abdelhamid (49'), Appiah (61'), Stassin (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Toulouse
Saturday, December 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Marseille
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawSaint-Etienne
61.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)21.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)69.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)41.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 61.94%
    Saint-Etienne 16.43%
    Draw 21.62%
ToulouseDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.94%
1-1 @ 10.28%
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 16.43%

How you voted: Toulouse vs St Etienne

Toulouse
73.5%
Draw
18.1%
Saint-Etienne
8.4%
83
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2020 6.15pm
Gameweek 31
Toulouse
P-P
St Etienne
Sep 15, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 5
St Etienne
2-2
Toulouse
Hamouma (45', 56')
Perrin (37'), Moukoudi (79'), Youssouf (91')
Gradel (15' pen.), Leya Iseka (24')
Apr 28, 2019 4pm
Gameweek 34
St Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Beric (2', 10')
Debuchy (68')

Sangare (47'), Sylla (83')
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 7
Toulouse
2-3
St Etienne
Gradel (63'), Durmaz (78')
Todibo (87')
Diony (23'), Cabella (66'), Salibur (75')
Monnet-Paquet (21'), Cabella (90')
Jan 14, 2018 2pm
St Etienne
2-0
Toulouse
Beric (45' pen.), Diousse (86')
Dabo (80')

Gradel (38'), Delort (45'), Amian (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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