Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
61.95% (![]() | 21.62% (![]() | 16.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% (![]() | 47.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% (![]() | 69.59% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% (![]() | 14.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.03% (![]() | 42.97% (![]() |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.01% (![]() | 41.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.58% (![]() | 78.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.94% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |