Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 7, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Toulouse

Monaco
2 - 0
Toulouse

Singo (50'), Embolo (82')
Embolo (69'), Teze (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aboukhlal (37'), Casseres Jr (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Monaco
Sunday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, December 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawToulouse
56.46% (0.774 0.77)22.28% (-0.215 -0.22)21.25% (-0.56 -0.56)
Both teams to score 55.98% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (0.265 0.27)42.99% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (0.263 0.26)65.39% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.95% (0.34699999999999 0.35)15.04% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.46% (0.65300000000001 0.65)43.54% (-0.655 -0.66)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (-0.379 -0.38)34.1% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.21% (-0.41 -0.41)70.79% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 56.47%
    Toulouse 21.25%
    Draw 22.28%
MonacoDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.142 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 56.47%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Monaco vs Toulouse

Monaco
65.0%
Draw
30.0%
Toulouse
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Akliouche (48')
Zakaria (27')
Sierro (41'), Costa (70')
Mawissa (65'), Donnum (82'), Restes (90+3')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Magri (5')
Costa (45+3'), Donnum (52')
Ben Yedder (26', 44')
Salisu (3'), Hutter (4'), Diop (57'), Magassa (66')
Golovin (51')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')
Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Monaco
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 37
Monaco
P-P
Toulouse
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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