

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 45.58% ( | 24.68% ( | 29.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( | 46.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( | 68.49% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( | 20.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.26% ( | 52.74% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( | 28.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.15% ( | 64.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
