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Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Montpellier

Monaco
2 - 1
Montpellier

Balogun (32'), Camara (90+8')
Vanderson (50'), Zakaria (50'), Salisu (82'), Camara (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nzingoula (16')
Sagnan (4'), Coulibaly (12')
Coulibaly (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Le Havre
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
63.23% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89)19.48% (0.473 0.47)17.29% (0.417 0.42)
Both teams to score 58.71% (-0.861 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (-1.518 -1.52)36.08% (1.52 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.81% (-1.688 -1.69)58.19% (1.688 1.69)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11% (-0.66 -0.66)10.89% (0.661 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.97% (-1.487 -1.49)35.03% (1.488 1.49)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.473 -0.47)34.11% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.513 -0.51)70.8% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 63.23%
    Montpellier HSC 17.29%
    Draw 19.48%
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.189 0.19)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.03% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 63.23%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.312 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.274 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.48%
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 17.29%

How you voted: Monaco vs Montpellier

Monaco
91.2%
Draw
6.9%
Montpellier HSC
2.0%
102
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco

Ferri (19')
Ouattara (52'), Fofana (65')
Singo (72')
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Monaco
2-0
Montpellier
Minamino (9'), Ben Yedder (90+2')
Vanderson (20'), Golovin (75')

Savanier (45'), Chotard (84'), Tchato (90')
Kouyate (69')
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 33
Monaco
0-4
Montpellier
Nordin (28', 72'), Maouassa (65'), Mavididi (79')
Oct 9, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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