

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC | 
| 58.1% (  0.88) | 21.22% (  -0.43) | 20.68% (  -0.45) | 
| Both teams to score 58.8% (  0.79) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.13% (  1.37) | 38.86% (  -1.36) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.82% (  1.42) | 61.18% (  -1.42) | 
| Monaco Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.84% (  0.71) | 13.16% (  -0.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.15% (  1.43) | 39.85% (  -1.43) | 
| Montpellier HSC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.71% (  0.35) | 32.29% (  -0.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.21% (  0.4) | 68.79% (  -0.39) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Monaco | Draw | Montpellier HSC | 
| 2-1 @ 9.88% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.74% (  -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.62% (  -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.68% (  0.17) 3-0 @ 5.91% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 3.77% (  0.13) 4-1 @ 3.39% (  0.17) 4-0 @ 3% (  0.12) 4-2 @ 1.91% (  0.11) 5-1 @ 1.37% (  0.1) 5-0 @ 1.22% (  0.08) Other @ 3.63% Total : 58.1% | 1-1 @ 9.74% (  -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.58% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 4.25% (  -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.42% (  0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.51% (  -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.8% (  -0.27) 0-2 @ 2.72% (  -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.1% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 2.08% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 20.68% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 | 
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 | 
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 | 
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 | 
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 | 
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 | 
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 | 
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 | 
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 | 
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 | 
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 | 
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 | 
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 | 
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 | 
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 | 
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 | 
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 | 
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