

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 62.52% ( | 20.06% ( | 17.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.34% ( | 38.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( | 60.96% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.16% ( | 11.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.9% ( | 37.09% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% | 35.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.69% | 72.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 4-0 @ 3.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 5-0 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 4.05% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 33 | 52 | 78 |
| 2 | Marseille | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 58 |
| 4 | Nice | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Lyon | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 54 |
| 8 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Brest | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 47 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 41 |
| 11 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 38 |
| 13 | Reims | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 33 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 31 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 74 | -39 | 27 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
