Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.23% (![]() | 25.22% (![]() | 36.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% (![]() | 46.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% (![]() | 68.96% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% (![]() | 24.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.64% (![]() | 58.36% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% (![]() | 24.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% (![]() | 59.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 8.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 11.88% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.35% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |