Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
| 35.82% ( | 26.54% ( | 37.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( | 52.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( | 74.17% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( | 28.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.17% ( | 63.83% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( | 27.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.53% ( | 62.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 2-1 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
| 2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
| 3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
| 5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
| 6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
| 8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
| 13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
| 15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
