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Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 27, 2025 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester
0 - 1
Man City


Cayman (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Park (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester City Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Leicester
Tuesday, April 15 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Everton
Sunday, April 20 at 1pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester City Women 1-2 Manchester City Women

Man City may be experiencing a difficult run of form, but we still believe that they have the extra quality required to see off Leicester in Sunday's fixture, especially as they have won all seven of their previous WSL meetings with the Foxes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 57.83%. A win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.62%) and 0-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Leicester City Women win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester City WomenDrawManchester City Women
21.73% (0.409 0.41) 20.44% (0.012 0.01) 57.83% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 63.38% (0.601 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.38% (0.505 0.5)33.62% (-0.508 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.56% (0.574 0.57)55.43% (-0.577 -0.58)
Leicester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.642 0.64)28.33% (-0.645 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.803 0.8)64.06% (-0.80499999999999 -0.8)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.43% (0.045000000000002 0.05)11.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.49% (0.099000000000004 0.1)36.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City Women 21.73%
    Manchester City Women 57.83%
    Draw 20.44%
Leicester City WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 4.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.61% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 21.73%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.62% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.48% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 4.36% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.35% (0.039 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 57.83%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 9
Man City
4-0
Leicester
Shaw (2', 29'), Park (49'), Fowler (58')
Feb 4, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 13
Man City
2-0
Leicester
Hemp (82'), Kelly (85')

Nevin (9'), Takarada (26'), O'Brien (57'), Howard (66')
Oct 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Leicester
0-1
Man City

O'Brien (85')
Kelly (10')
Angeldal (90')
Feb 4, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 13
Leicester
0-2
Man City
Shaw (61'), Kelly (74')
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Man City
4-0
Leicester
Shaw (24', 79'), Hemp (72'), Hasegawa (88')
rhs 2.0
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