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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium

Brighton
1 - 2
Man City

Jayde Rule (90+2')
Hayes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Casparij (37'), Miedema (90')
Prior (29'), Coombs (55'), Miedema (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 3-2 Brighton
Sunday, March 23 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Man City
Thursday, March 27 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1-1 Manchester City Women

Man City's squad is being tested to its limit due to the significant injury list and busy schedule, and we think that fatigue could play a part in Sunday's contest, which is why we believe that Brighton will do enough to hold the visitors to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City Women in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawManchester City Women
29.88% (-0.351 -0.35) 23.27% (-0.102 -0.1) 46.85% (0.456 0.46)
Both teams to score 61.6% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (0.288 0.29)39.63% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (0.299 0.3)61.98% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)25.57% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)60.45% (0.119 0.12)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (0.291 0.29)17.23% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (0.503 0.5)47.52% (-0.498 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 29.88%
    Manchester City Women 46.85%
    Draw 23.27%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.88%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.45% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.4% (0.052 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 46.85%

Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Man City
1-0
Brighton
Shaw (44')

Pattinson (33')
Mar 17, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-4
Man City
Lee (90+1')
Carabali (65'), Lucy McEwan (85'), Symonds (90+3')
Hemp (27'), Fowler (40'), Shaw (69'), Coombs (78')
Nov 12, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Man City
0-1
Brighton
Lee (81')
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Brighton
1-2
Man City
Terland (33')
Shaw (21', 89')
Dec 4, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Man City
3-1
Brighton
Sarri (11' og.), Blakstad (19'), Coombs (26')
Lee (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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