Chelsea3 - 0Man City
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
for
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Chelsea Women 2-1 Manchester City Women
Chelsea boast a perfect home record under Bompastor's tutelage, and while we believe that they will maintain that record in Thursday's contest, we think the visitors will do enough to protect their first-leg advantage and set up a semi-final clash against Barcelona or Wolfsburg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 15.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
64.97% (![]() | 19.25% (![]() | 15.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.05% (![]() | 37.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.79% (![]() | 60.21% (![]() |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.02% (![]() | 10.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.77% (![]() | 35.23% (![]() |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.94% (![]() | 37.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% (![]() | 73.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
2-0 @ 9.93% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.86% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 4.43% Total : 64.97% | 1-1 @ 8.92% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.25% | 1-2 @ 4.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 15.78% |
How you voted: Chelsea vs Man City

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 82 |
2 | Arsenal | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 67 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 62 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Chelsea | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 60 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 57 |
8 | Fulham | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 51 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 56 | 55 | 1 | 51 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
11 | Brentford | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 46 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 41 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
15 | Everton | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 38 |
16 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 37 |
17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 36 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 74 | -41 | 21 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 76 | -49 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 34 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 80 | -55 | 11 |
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