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Women's Super League | Gameweek 13
Feb 2, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Chelsea


Baijings (61'), Daly (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mayling (82' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Man City
Saturday, January 25 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Arsenal
Sunday, January 26 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-3 Chelsea Women

Arroyo will be desperate to make a positive start to life in the WSL, but Chelsea will be in no mood to offer any welcoming gifts to the former Real Sociedad manager, and we believe that the Blues will showcase their superior quality to claim a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
15.83% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 17.45% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 66.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.27% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.14% (-0.217 -0.22)28.86% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.19% (-0.268 -0.27)49.81% (0.267 0.27)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.208 -0.21)31.16% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.243 -0.24)67.5% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.92% (-0.047999999999988 -0.05)8.08% (0.047899999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.58% (-0.123 -0.12)28.42% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 15.83%
    Chelsea Women 66.71%
    Draw 17.45%
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 2.94% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 15.83%
1-1 @ 7.39% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.45%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.97% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 7.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 6.68% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 4.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.2% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.86% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-5 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 66.71%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Chelsea

Aston Villa Women
16.7%
Draw
8.3%
Chelsea Women
75.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 1
Chelsea
1-0
Aston Villa
Rytting-Kaneryd (36')
Hamano (90+3')
Apr 17, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 19
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Beever-Jones (18'), Hamano (38'), Buchanan (64')
Ingle (61'), Lawrence (77')

Corsie (8'), Daly (45+4')
Leat (4')
Nov 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
0-6
Chelsea

Patten (35')
Bright (21'), Kirby (26'), Rytting-Kaneryd (56'), Lawrence (63'), Beever-Jones (67'), Charles (73')
Apr 16, 2023 2.15pm
Apr 2, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
0-3
Chelsea
Cankovic (22'), Reiten (43'), Kerr (56')
rhs 2.0
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