Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 23, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Piccoli (7')
Luis Palomino (65'), Piccoli (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gosens (36'), Beltran (48')
Parisi (84'), Zaniolo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Cagliari
Saturday, April 12 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Celje
Thursday, April 17 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Fiorentina
26.46% ( 0.16)	25.56% ( 0.38)	47.99% ( -0.54)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table

Cagliari	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.46%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 47.98%

Serie A

Cagliari1 - 2Fiorentina

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

Fiorentina

Data Analysis

How you voted: Cagliari vs Fiorentina

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Cagliari
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